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27 Oct · 13:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1681
3-1Final setsOlbrycht won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1533
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Olbrycht at 65%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Olbrycht favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 73.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Olbrycht −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Olbrycht −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Olbrycht is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Michal Olbrychtpre 63% → final 100%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsOlbrycht recovered from 39%63 points · 4 games