27 Oct · 14:15 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1549
FormWLLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Sobel
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1365
FormLLLLL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+184
H2H14-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-6)