27 Oct · 14:40 MEZLow · Coin Flip
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1490
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1491
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Minda goes over total as favourite 71% (28)
Fair odds · Minda
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H17-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.