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27 Oct · 14:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1477
2-3Final setsSobel won
ASArtur Sobel
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1533
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sobel at 55%. The actual result was Artur Sobel 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Sobel favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Total 73.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Artur Sobel −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Sobel −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mleczko is favoured to win, below means Artur Sobel.

▲ Bartlomiej Mleczkopre 48% → final 95%
Artur Sobel ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsMleczko recovered from 36%72 points · 4 games