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DeuceLab
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27 Oct · 15:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1554
1-3Final setsKolek won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1631
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 57%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Rutkowski favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 74.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 39% → final 9%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts72 points · 4 games