Mariusz Baron vs Kamil Smolka — TT Elite Series

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27 Oct · 16:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1455

2-3Final setsSmolka won

🇵🇱Kamil Smolka

ELO 1514

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smolka at 56%. The actual result was Kamil Smolka 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Kamil Smolka — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kamil Smolka favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Total 75.5

94 points played

Over

Set handicap

Kamil Smolka −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Kamil Smolka −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Kamil Smolka.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 40% → final 2%

Kamil Smolka ▼

Biggest swing 46 pts72 points · 5 games