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27 Oct · 21:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MBMarian Brunner
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1474
3-2Final setsBrunner won
ZNZbigniew Nocun
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1549
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nocun at 63%. The actual result was Marian Brunner 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Zbigniew Nocun favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 71.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Zbigniew Nocun −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Zbigniew Nocun −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Brunner is favoured to win, below means Zbigniew Nocun.

▲ Marian Brunnerpre 39% → final 94%
Zbigniew Nocun ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsBrunner recovered from 13%72 points · 5 games