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27 Oct · 22:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1364
3-0Final setsMachelski won
ZNZbigniew Nocun
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1549
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nocun at 72%. The actual result was Michal Machelski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Zbigniew Nocun favoured — closing 1.25
Upset
Total 72.5
54 points played
Under
Set handicap
Zbigniew Nocun −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Zbigniew Nocun −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
18
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Machelski is favoured to win, below means Zbigniew Nocun.

▲ Michal Machelskipre 29% → final 98%
Zbigniew Nocun ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsMachelski recovered from 27%52 points · 3 games