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27 Oct · 22:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1439
1-3Final setsLebek won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1552
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 63%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.3
Favourite won
Total 70.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −8.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Jurowicz is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Grzegorz Jurowiczpre 39% → final 1%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 38 pts65 points · 4 games