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27 Oct · 23:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1433
3-1Final setsPaszkiewicz won
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1569
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 67%. The actual result was Michal Paszkiewicz 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.27
Upset
Total 69.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Paszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Michal Paszkiewiczpre 35% → final 85%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsPaszkiewicz recovered from 25%72 points · 4 games