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27 Oct · 23:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1301
3-2Final setsRolak won
MPMiroslaw Piecowski
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1302
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 52%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslaw Rolak favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 79.5
103 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Miroslaw Piecowski.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 56% → final 2%
Miroslaw Piecowski ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsPiecowski recovered from 29%54 points · 3 games