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27 Oct · 23:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PPPrzemyslaw Perzynski
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Perzynski
ELO 1594
3-2Final setsPerzynski won
LPLukasz Pietraszko
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1555
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Perzynski at 54%. The actual result was Przemyslaw Perzynski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Pietraszko favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
111 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lukasz Pietraszko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukasz Pietraszko −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Przemyslaw Perzynski is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Pietraszko.

▲ Przemyslaw Perzynskipre 58% → final 100%
Lukasz Pietraszko ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsPerzynski recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games