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27 Oct · 23:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1569
2-3Final setsVincenec won
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1512
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 56%. The actual result was Oliver Vincenec 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 76.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Tkocz is favoured to win, below means Oliver Vincenec.

▲ Marek Tkoczpre 53% → final 11%
Oliver Vincenec ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsVincenec recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games