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28 Oct · 00:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1433
2-3Final setsLebek won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1552
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 63%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 72.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Paszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Michal Paszkiewiczpre 39% → final 0%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsLebek recovered from 13%72 points · 5 games