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28 Oct · 01:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1569
3-1Final setsTkocz won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1552
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 51%. The actual result was Marek Tkocz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.85
Favourite won
Total 72.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Tkocz is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Marek Tkoczpre 47% → final 95%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsTkocz recovered from 42%72 points · 4 games