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28 Oct · 02:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1364
3-1Final setsMachelski won
AFAndriej Fomin
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1515
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Fomin at 69%. The actual result was Michal Machelski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Andriej Fomin favoured — closing 1.42
Upset
Total 73.5
66 points played
Under
Set handicap
Andriej Fomin −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Andriej Fomin −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Machelski is favoured to win, below means Andriej Fomin.

▲ Michal Machelskipre 26% → final 100%
Andriej Fomin ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsMachelski recovered from 15%65 points · 4 games