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28 Oct · 03:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1433
1-3Final setsVincenec won
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1512
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vincenec at 57%. The actual result was Oliver Vincenec 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Oliver Vincenec favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 74.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Oliver Vincenec −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Oliver Vincenec −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Paszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Oliver Vincenec.

▲ Michal Paszkiewiczpre 46% → final 2%
Oliver Vincenec ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsVincenec recovered from 44%72 points · 4 games