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28 Oct · 03:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MBMarian Brunner
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1474
3-2Final setsBrunner won
AKAndrzej Krezel
🇵🇱Andrzej Krezel
ELO 1577
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krezel at 62%. The actual result was Marian Brunner 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Andrzej Krezel favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 71.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Andrzej Krezel −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Andrzej Krezel −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Brunner is favoured to win, below means Andrzej Krezel.

▲ Marian Brunnerpre 40% → final 1%
Andrzej Krezel ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts72 points · 4 games