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← TT Elite Series predictions
28 Oct · 04:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1364
1-3Final setsNocun won
ZNZbigniew Nocun
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1549
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nocun at 69%. The actual result was Zbigniew Nocun 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Zbigniew Nocun favoured — closing 1.22
Favourite won
Total 70.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Zbigniew Nocun −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Zbigniew Nocun −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Machelski is favoured to win, below means Zbigniew Nocun.

▲ Michal Machelskipre 26% → final 7%
Zbigniew Nocun ▼
Biggest swing 26 pts72 points · 4 games