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28 Oct · 04:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1574
3-0Final setsRutkowski won
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1678
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Olbrycht at 65%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Olbrycht favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 74.5
51 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Olbrycht −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Olbrycht −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Michal Olbrycht.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 37% → final 97%
Michal Olbrycht ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsRutkowski recovered from 37%49 points · 3 games