28 Oct · 06:20 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1364
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Brunner
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1474
FormWWWLL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Brunner
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 48% · 2.10· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H37-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-11)