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28 Oct · 05:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1574
3-0Final setsRutkowski won
JZJakub Zochniak
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1560
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zochniak at 50%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Rutkowski favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 73.5
66 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
3.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Zochniak.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 54% → final 95%
Jakub Zochniak ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsRutkowski recovered from 41%65 points · 3 games