28 Oct · 06:50 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
MJ
🇵🇱Michal Jozefiak
ELO 1479
FormWLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Jozefiak
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1368
FormWLLLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Jozefiak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)