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28 Oct · 06:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1472
3-0Final setsPaszkiewicz won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1514
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 63%. The actual result was Michal Paszkiewicz 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lebek favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 72.5
51 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lebek −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
9.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Paszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Michal Paszkiewiczpre 39% → final 0%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsLebek recovered from 13%72 points · 5 games