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28 Oct · 07:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MJMichal Jozefiak
🇵🇱Michal Jozefiak
ELO 1510
3-0Final setsJozefiak won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1514
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 56%. The actual result was Michal Jozefiak 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lebek favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 72.5
62 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lebek −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Jozefiak is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Michal Jozefiakpre 40% → final 9%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 36 pts72 points · 4 games