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DeuceLab
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28 Oct · 07:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RIRafal Idaczyk
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1439
2-3Final setsPaszkiewicz won
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1472
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Idaczyk at 50%. The actual result was Michal Paszkiewicz 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Idaczyk favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 74.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Idaczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Idaczyk −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Idaczyk is favoured to win, below means Michal Paszkiewicz.

▲ Rafal Idaczykpre 54% → final 23%
Michal Paszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsPaszkiewicz recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games