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28 Oct · 08:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1415
1-3Final setsSlosarczyk won
PSPawel Slosarczyk
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1401
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Madej at 51%. The actual result was Pawel Slosarczyk 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Madej favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Set handicap
Madej −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Madej −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Pawel Slosarczyk.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 47% → final 0%
Pawel Slosarczyk ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts70 points · 4 games