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28 Oct · 08:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1514
2-3Final setsCesarz won
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1349
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 69%. The actual result was Milosz Cesarz 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lebek favoured — closing 1.25
Upset
Total 70.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lebek −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Milosz Cesarz.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 67% → final 3%
Milosz Cesarz ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsCesarz recovered from 22%72 points · 5 games