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28 Oct · 09:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1635
3-2Final setsKolek won
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1665
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Olbrycht at 57%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Olbrycht favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 74.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Olbrycht −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Olbrycht −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Kolek is favoured to win, below means Michal Olbrycht.

▲ Maciej Kolekpre 39% → final 97%
Michal Olbrycht ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsKolek recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games