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28 Oct · 09:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1472
3-0Final setsPaszkiewicz won
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1349
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Paszkiewicz at 62%. The actual result was Michal Paszkiewicz 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Paszkiewicz favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 72.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Paszkiewicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Paszkiewicz −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
3.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Paszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Milosz Cesarz.

▲ Michal Paszkiewiczpre 66% → final 97%
Milosz Cesarz ▼
Biggest swing 54 pts72 points · 3 games