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Ratings & Predictions
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28 Oct · 10:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1543
2-3Final setsPoliniewicz won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1712
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 66%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.2
Favourite won
Total 71.5
101 points played
Over
Set handicap
Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Poliniewicz −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Czerwinski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Bartosz Czerwinskipre 29% → final 9%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 16%72 points · 5 games