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28 Oct · 10:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMilosz Kukawka
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1504
3-2Final setsKukawka won
MMMichal Minda
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1511
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kukawka at 51%. The actual result was Milosz Kukawka 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Minda favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 73.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Minda −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Minda −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Kukawka is favoured to win, below means Michal Minda.

▲ Milosz Kukawkapre 55% → final 77%
Michal Minda ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsKukawka recovered from 13%72 points · 5 games