28 Oct · 17:25 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Skupinski
ELO 1357
FormLWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pyrek
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1452
FormWWWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Pyrek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H14-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)