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28 Oct · 11:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDawid Kotwica
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1322
3-1Final setsKotwica won
AMAdrian Myszewski
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1418
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Myszewski at 61%. The actual result was Dawid Kotwica 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kotwica favoured — closing 1.85
Favourite won
Total 74.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kotwica −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kotwica −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kotwica is favoured to win, below means Adrian Myszewski.

▲ Dawid Kotwicapre 35% → final 3%
Adrian Myszewski ▼
Biggest swing 37 pts55 points · 3 games