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28 Oct · 13:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1563
3-2Final setsRutkowski won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1543
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rutkowski at 51%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Rutkowski favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Set handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 47% → final 95%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsRutkowski recovered from 40%72 points · 5 games