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28 Oct · 14:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1415
3-0Final setsMadej won
PSPawel Slosarczyk
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1401
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Slosarczyk at 51%. The actual result was Boguslaw Madej 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Slosarczyk favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Set handicap
Pawel Slosarczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Slosarczyk −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Pawel Slosarczyk.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 45% → final 0%
Pawel Slosarczyk ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts70 points · 4 games