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← TT Elite Series predictions
28 Oct · 14:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1563
1-3Final setsPoliniewicz won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1712
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 65%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 74.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 30% → final 7%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 37%72 points · 4 games