28 Oct · 16:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1480
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Adamus
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1401
FormLLLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H23-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-0)