28 Oct · 17:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1263
FormLLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zwolinski
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1346
FormLWWWL
41%
59%
🌟Golaszewski goes over total as underdog 63% (43)
Fair odds · Zwolinski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)