28 Oct · 17:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1565
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Polok
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1517
FormLWWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Polok
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)