28 Oct · 17:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1323
FormLWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1480
FormLWWWL
33%
67%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (25)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H49-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-13)