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01 Nov · 00:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BSBartosz Sulkowski
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1495
3-1Final setsSulkowski won
JMJakub Michalczyk
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1375
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sulkowski at 62%. The actual result was Bartosz Sulkowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 73.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sulkowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Sulkowski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Michalczyk.

▲ Bartosz Sulkowskipre 66% → final 99%
Jakub Michalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 33 pts72 points · 4 games