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01 Nov · 16:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
WJWaldemar Jozala
🇵🇱Waldemar Jozala
ELO 1322
1-3Final setsKurek won
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1551
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 73%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kurek favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 74.5
63 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kurek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Kurek −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Waldemar Jozala is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kurek.

▲ Waldemar Jozalapre 22% → final 2%
Pawel Kurek ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts61 points · 4 games