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31 Oct · 20:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1545
3-1Final setsSkorupa won
TKTomasz Kocik
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1657
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kocik at 64%. The actual result was Jakub Skorupa 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kocik favoured — closing 1.27
Upset
Total 71.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kocik −2.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kocik −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
8.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Skorupa is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Kocik.

▲ Jakub Skorupapre 31% → final 53%
Tomasz Kocik ▼
Biggest swing 44 ptsSkorupa recovered from 9%72 points · 4 games