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01 Nov · 10:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1781
1-3Final setsKolodziej won
KKKrystian Kolodziej
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1724
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Miastowski at 54%. The actual result was Krystian Kolodziej 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kolodziej favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 76.5
83 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kolodziej −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Kolodziej −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksymilian Miastowski is favoured to win, below means Krystian Kolodziej.

▲ Maksymilian Miastowskipre 51% → final 11%
Krystian Kolodziej ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsKolodziej recovered from 18%72 points · 4 games