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01 Nov · 04:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1781
3-1Final setsMiastowski won
GAGrzegorz Adamiak
🇵🇱Grzegorz Adamiak
ELO 1598
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Miastowski at 73%. The actual result was Maksymilian Miastowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miastowski favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 77.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Miastowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Miastowski −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksymilian Miastowski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Adamiak.

▲ Maksymilian Miastowskipre 72% → final 100%
Grzegorz Adamiak ▼
Biggest swing 55 pts72 points · 4 games