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31 Oct · 20:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1442
2-3Final setsMalcher won
KMKrzysztof Malcher
🇵🇱Krzysztof Malcher
ELO 1457
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Michalik at 52%. The actual result was Krzysztof Malcher 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Malcher favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 78.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Malcher −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Malcher −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Michalik is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Malcher.

▲ Jerzy Michalikpre 49% → final 23%
Krzysztof Malcher ▼
Biggest swing 88 ptsMalcher recovered from 1%72 points · 5 games