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01 Nov · 06:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KKKrystian Kolodziej
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1716
3-1Final setsKolodziej won
GAGrzegorz Adamiak
🇵🇱Grzegorz Adamiak
ELO 1598
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolodziej at 69%. The actual result was Krystian Kolodziej 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krystian Kolodziej favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 75.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krystian Kolodziej −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Krystian Kolodziej −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krystian Kolodziej is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Adamiak.

▲ Krystian Kolodziejpre 67% → final 93%
Grzegorz Adamiak ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts72 points · 4 games