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31 Oct · 22:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KMKrzysztof Malcher
🇵🇱Krzysztof Malcher
ELO 1457
2-3Final setsKocik won
TKTomasz Kocik
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1657
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kocik at 71%. The actual result was Tomasz Kocik 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kocik favoured — closing 1.18
Favourite won
Total 71.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kocik −2.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kocik −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Malcher is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Kocik.

▲ Krzysztof Malcherpre 30% → final 6%
Tomasz Kocik ▼
Biggest swing 27 pts72 points · 4 games