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01 Nov · 02:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KMKrzysztof Malcher
🇵🇱Krzysztof Malcher
ELO 1457
3-2Final setsMalcher won
PGPiotr Gesiarz
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1561
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gesiarz at 63%. The actual result was Krzysztof Malcher 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Gesiarz favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 74.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Gesiarz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Gesiarz −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Malcher is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gesiarz.

▲ Krzysztof Malcherpre 39% → final 97%
Piotr Gesiarz ▼
Biggest swing 97 ptsMalcher recovered from 2%72 points · 5 games